Friday, October 31, 2014

Health Insurers "Expect at Least 20% Growth" From 2015 Enrollment

That was the lead in a Reuters story this morning saying, "health plans expect at least 20% growth in customers and in some states anticipate more than a doubling in sign-ups" from the 2015 Obamacare open-enrollment.

Well they better do a hell of a lot better than that!

Sunday, October 19, 2014

Figures Don't Lie But Liars Figure––Will There Be Some Obamacare Rate Shock in 2015?

Hanging around actuaries as long as I have one of the old sayings I picked up was, "Figures don't lie, but liars figure."

I have read one story after another this summer and fall about the modest Obamacare rates increases––or decreases––for 2015.

On this blog you have also seen me write about the complex way the 2015 Obamacare rates will hit people particularly because of the impact the changes in the so called second lowest cost Silver plan will have on so many people's final subsidy. You have also seen me write about the fact that we really won't know what Obamacare costs people until the now unlimited Obamacare reinsurance program stops subsidizing insurance rates in 2017.

Recently, the Kaiser Family Foundation provided a report pointing out that the cost of the benchmark Silver Plan would fall 0.8% in sixteen cities they researched:

Monday, October 13, 2014

Wednesday, October 8, 2014

The Most Transparent Administration Puts a Gag Order on HealthCare.gov Testing

With the second Obamacare open-enrollment beginning on November 15th, the enrollment system's testing begins with insurance companies this week.

Of course, last year the enrollment system testing was a real mess resulting in a humiliating Obamacare launch for the administration.

Up until now I wasn't expecting any major problems with HealthCare.gov's consumer enrollment system given all of the lessons learned and the new people running things.

But apparently, the administration is pretty worried about what could happen.

Wednesday, October 1, 2014

One Year Later: The Affordable Care Act's Launch on October 1, 2013––So How Did it Go?

Here unedited is what I posted on September 29, 2013:

The Affordable Health Care Act's Launch On October 1st––So How Did it Go?

Unavoidably, that will be the big question come Tuesday.

But there will be much more to it than that.

A 180-Day Open Enrollment––Not a One-Day Open Enrollment
What happens on the first day, for good or bad, will constitute only a tiny percentage of the open enrollment period. Consumers will likely visit the new websites many times before they make any decisions, and that is exactly as it should be.

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